Deep Dives

Long-form essays and multi-part series: strategy, finance, technology.
Series
Reading Nvidia: On strategy, defensibility, and the return of industrial AI

Moats, systems, and the physical economy behind the AI build-out. · Started Apr 2026 · 5 of 5 sections published

Part 0 · Series overview 5 min Apr 2026

Moats, systems, and the physical economy behind the AI build-out.

Part 1 · Nvidia, or the Repricing of a Watt 18 min LONG READ May 2026

Tokens per watt, bottleneck inversion, and the Hopper–Blackwell arithmetic.

Part 2 · The Moat That Cannot Be Coded 24 min LONG READ May 2026

Tacit knowledge, CUDA as institutional memory, and who captures AI value when models commoditise.

Part 3 · Pareto Frontiers and Lock-In 25 min LONG READ May 2026

What the inference market and Nvidia's no-surge-pricing tell us about strategic decisions in multi-dimensional spaces.

Part 4 · The Return of the Real World 18 min LONG READ Oct 2026

Power, capital, and what happens when the AI stack becomes an industrial system.

Series
AI × Energy: Powering the AI Revolution

Grids, GPUs, and the physics of running intelligence at planetary scale.

Watts, wires, and who controls the stack—not the headline model. · Started Mar 2026 · 6 of 6 sections published

Part 0 · Introduction 7 min Mar 2026

Watts, wires, and who controls the stack—not the headline model.

Part 1 · Energy and Civilization (Smil) 17 min LONG READ Mar 2026

Smil on why transitions take generations, welfare at ~110 GJ, and why energy enables but never decides.

Part 2 · Power Density (Smil) 18 min LONG READ Apr 2026

Land and power density as the real limit on decarbonisation—and why hyperscalers are buying nuclear.

Part 3 · The 84% Gap (Subran) 24 min LONG READ Apr 2026

Europe's climate funding gap vs AI capex—same capital pool, different clocks.

Part 4 · The New Map (Yergin) 26 min LONG READ Jun 2026

Yergin's cartographic method—shale, Malacca, path dependence—and why the AI race is an energy and supply-chain story.

Part 5 · The Synthesis 14 min Oct 2026

Why cheaper AI means more AI, why nuclear arrives too late for the first wave, and why bits can accelerate atoms without making them behave like bits.

Series
Deployment

From trust loops to deployment metabolism: how products actually reach the market.

How frontier tech earns trust in the field, and a simple map of the constraints that set deployment speed. · Started Oct 2025 · 3 of 3 sections published

Part 0 · Series overview 2 min Oct 2025

How frontier tech earns trust in the field, and a simple map of the constraints that set deployment speed.

Part 1 · The deployment paradox 7 min Oct 2025

You need trust to deploy, but you need deployment to earn trust. How to resolve the circular dependency.

Part 2 · Deployment metabolism 10 min Oct 2025

A framework for diagnosing your five deployment forces and understanding how constraints determine which strategic approaches can work.

Other deep dives
2025
AI Moats Are Different: A Framework for Competitive Advantage Oct 2025 Why traditional moats fail in AI, and a four-level framework for building defensible positions: technical foundation, product depth, market position, sustainability. · 16 min
Market Sizing for Founders Oct 2025 A practical framework for sizing markets when you're building something new. · 23 min
AI as Normal Technology: Investing Beyond the Illusion of Magic Sep 2025 General-purpose technologies diffuse slowly and unevenly. AI will follow similar patterns. Value creation depends on when bottlenecks collapse, not benchmark scores. · 21 min